The NOAA Has Dropped A La Niña Watch - Could Be Good News For The Winter
A #LaNina watch has been issued. #ENSO-neutral is favored to continue through boreal summer, with a 50-55% chance of La Niña development during Northern Hemisphere fall 2020 and continuing through winter 2020-21 (~50% chance). https://t.co/5zlzaZ0D9Z pic.twitter.com/Dk9jXPzove
— NWSCPC (@NWSCPC) July 9, 2020
Now, as the weather is never a guarantee, there's no need to get too excited that snow will be flying non-stop through the winter. With that said, there are some general expectations for a La Niña winter. Most importantly to snow sports enthusiasts is the chance for below-average temps and above-average precipitation across parts of the northern U.S.
As of right now, as the above Twitter post stated, the chance of a La Niña winter is only 50-55%. Though that does lean in the favor of the winter we are all hoping for, that still leaves a 40-45% chance of neutral conditions and a zero-5% chance of El Niño.
In the end, this is still a very early assessment and just a watch. While it is good to stay positive, especially with the possibility of a COVID-19 ski season looming over the heads of every U.S. skier and rider, don't place your bets just yet. As stated in the La Niña announcement from the NOAA, "...as a Watch means the forecast favors the development of La Niña conditions within the next six months."
Photo Credit: Yellowstone National Park from Yellowstone NP, USA / Public domain
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